Why Democratic Parties Struggle to Develop
Strong Leaders
What Germany’s
struggle with the AfD reveals about a neglected democratic capacity
R.M. Westerink; September 2026
The rise of the authoritarian right exposes
more than public anger or policy failure. It reveals a weakness in how
democratic parties develop Leadership. People continue to look for recognition,
protection, belonging, and direction, especially when social change feels
threatening or government appears unable to act. Authoritarian movements offer
direct answers to those needs. They define a threatened community, identify who
supposedly endangers it, and present a leader who promises to restore control.
Democratic Parties usually respond with
policy proposals, warnings about extremism, or promises of better
administration. All three may be necessary. Together, however, they still leave
a gap. They do not necessarily give citizens a convincing sense of who “we”
are, what binds us together, what future we are trying to build, and who will
take responsibility for getting us there.
Germany’s confrontation with the
Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) provides an urgent test. The question is not
simply whether the Christian Democratic Union should maintain its firewall
against cooperation with the AfD. The deeper question is whether the CDU and
other democratic parties can offer a more credible form of Leadership than the
AfD: strong without becoming authoritarian, protective without becoming
exclusionary, and imaginative without abandoning facts or constitutional
restraint.
The desire
for Leadership is not Authoritarian
Citizens do not make political choices by
comparing complete policy programs as if they were technical specifications.
They also rely on political identity, prior experience, trusted people,
perceived competence, and judgments about whether a party understands people
like them. Political heuristics are not simply evidence of irrationality. They
are practical ways of making decisions under limited time, knowledge, and
attention.[1]
Under conditions of uncertainty or
perceived threat, the need for orientation can become more important. People
may look more strongly for protection, social order, group cohesion, and
Leaders who appear able to act. Research on authoritarian attitudes supports a
relationship between threat, uncertainty, and receptiveness to authoritarian
responses, but the outcome is not automatic.[2] Stress can also produce
solidarity, civic participation, or renewed support for democratic
institutions. Much depends on how events are interpreted and what kind of
Leadership is available.
This distinction matters. The desire to be
seen, protected, and guided toward a recognizable future is not inherently
antidemocratic. It becomes dangerous when political Leaders translate it into
obedience, unequal citizenship, permanent enemies, or personal control over
institutions. If Democratic Parties treat the need itself as suspect, they
leave authoritarian Leaders in possession of the language of strength.
What Authoritarian
Leadership supplies
Authoritarian movements rarely present
themselves as constitutional theories. They tell a story about a community. The
people have been neglected. The country has lost control. Established elites
refuse to see what ordinary citizens experience. Outsiders or internal enemies
receive protection while the authentic community is abandoned. Renewal
therefore requires a decisive break and a Leader willing to act.
This political offer joins several
functions that democratic politics often separates. It recognizes emotion,
supplies an explanation, defines a collective identity, identifies danger,
promises protection, and concentrates responsibility in a visible person or
movement. Its power lies not only in the individual claims, but in the
relationship it creates between Leader, Followers, and Community.
Germany’s AfD has built such an offer
around immigration, national identity, distrust of governing institutions,
resentment toward established elites, and a particularly strong sense of
neglect in the eastern states. In the September 2026 state election in
Saxony-Anhalt, the party won about 44 percent of the vote. Reported exit
polling also found exceptionally high dissatisfaction with the national
government.[3] A result of that scale cannot be explained by one issue or
dismissed as a temporary protest. The AfD has become, for many voters, an
organized political identity.
The Democratic
Leadership Weakness
Democratic systems do produce
officeholders. Elections select representatives; parties develop programs;
parliaments authorize governments; courts and constitutions limit their power.
These are major democratic achievements. Yet the same system does not reliably
produce Leaders who can recognize social experience, create a shared
interpretation, express a common direction, organize delivery, and remain
visibly self-limiting.
Democratic Parties often select for other
valuable abilities: policy knowledge, internal reliability, negotiating skill,
coalition management, media discipline, and administrative experience. A
politician can possess all of them and still fail to establish a meaningful
Leadership relationship with citizens. Government is organized; Resonant
Leadership is left largely to emerge from an uncertain combination of
personality, circumstance, public need, and communication.
This helps explain why Democratic Parties
can be institutionally competent yet politically unconvincing. Their Leaders
explain separate measures while authoritarian challengers describe a common
predicament. They defend procedures while their opponents embody purpose. They
distribute responsibility while their opponents claim it. The democratic
caution is often justified, but citizens may experience the result as absence.
The problem is therefore not that Democracy
lacks Leaders altogether. It is that Democracy is better at constraining
Leadership than at intentionally cultivating Leaders who combine resonance,
direction, action, and restraint.
The United States gives individuals more
room to build personal electoral movements, but also creates greater risks of
personalization and Leader worship.
European Parliamentary Systems contain
those risks more effectively, yet often fragment Leadership across parties,
coalitions, and institutions.
Democracy
must Sense its Community and Imagine its Future
Political imagination must begin with
sensitivity to how citizens experience their community. A large political
community cannot depend on personal acquaintance among its members. Citizens
must be able to imagine themselves as participants in a shared society with a
history, a character, mutual obligations, and a possible future. Leaders,
institutions, public language, and political symbols help make that imagined
community recognizable.
National Socialism demonstrated the
destructive power of political imagination. It offered an organic and racial
people, a mythologized past, national humiliation, internal enemies, rebirth,
sacrifice, and a leader who claimed to embody the nation. The lesson should not
be that democratic politics must avoid imagination. It should be that democracy
needs a fundamentally different kind of imagination: civic rather than ethnic,
plural rather than homogeneous, historically responsible rather than mythically
pure, and centered on equal citizenship rather than obedience.
The democratic answer to
authoritarian imagination is not the absence of imagination.
It is a stronger
and more inclusive account of the community.
Such an account must answer basic
questions. Who are we? Who belongs? What have we learned from our history? What
do we want to protect? What changes must we manage? What future can we build
together? Democratic leaders cannot answer these questions once and impose the
result. They must articulate answers that grow from public experience, survive
disagreement, and remain open to correction.
Social identity research helps explain why
this matters. Leaders gain influence when they are seen as representing,
advancing, and shaping a shared “we.” Effective identity Leadership is not
merely a personal attribute; it is a relationship in which Leaders and
Followers construct a sense of common membership and collective capacity.[4]
The democratic test concerns the boundaries of that “we.” Does it enable
different citizens to belong, or does it require some of them to disappear?
Keeping Citizens
In while keeping Authoritarian Power Out
The distinction between membership, needs,
behavior, and power can seem abstract. A brief comparison with smaller groups
helps. A parent can make clear that a child belongs to the family without
permitting that child to dominate or harm others. A coach can take dissatisfied
players seriously, adjust roles or methods, and still enforce rules that apply
to the whole team. A Democracy is neither a family nor a sports team, and
citizens are not children. The relevant parallel is the ability to preserve
membership while setting behavioral and institutional boundaries.
Applied to Germany, this means that AfD
voters remain full members and co-owners of the democratic community. Their
experiences must be investigated and their legitimate needs addressed. But
their membership does not make every interpretation correct, every proposal
acceptable, or every party automatically entitled to government power. Equal
citizenship is unconditional; access to power is subject to constitutional
conduct.
This distinction corrects two inadequate
strategies. Moral exclusion can allow the AfD to claim that the democratic
establishment despises its voters. Programmatic imitation can confirm that the
AfD defined the problem correctly and was needed to force action. Comparative
research finds little support for the expectation that mainstream parties
generally weaken the radical right by adopting its positions. Accommodation can
instead increase the salience and legitimacy of the radical right’s agenda.[5]
What a
Resonant CDU could do differently
A CDU with imaginative and resonant
Leadership would not promise to make the AfD disappear. Economic stagnation,
regional inequality, immigration pressures, demographic change, distrust of
institutions, and separate media environments cannot be solved through
Leadership alone. Nor should resonance mean repeating what AfD voters already
believe. It means understanding what citizens experience and giving those
experiences an independent democratic interpretation.
On immigration, for example, the CDU could
recognize that citizens expect the state to control entry, make asylum
decisions promptly, distribute local burdens fairly, and enforce decisions. It
need not accept the claim that equal citizenship or German continuity requires
ethnic homogeneity. Its answer could join control with constitutional
confidence: a Democratic State decides who may enter, expects integration,
protects social cohesion, and treats lawful citizens as equal Germans.
In eastern Germany, recognition would have
to go beyond campaign visits. A resonant CDU would make eastern German
experiences part of the national account of reunification, leadership,
investment, and institutional representation. It would acknowledge loss,
outmigration, unequal influence, and repeated disappointment without telling
citizens that resentment excuses authoritarian politics. Local and regional
Leaders would be essential because national imagination cannot be credible if
it is experienced as another message from outside.
The CDU would also need a
democratic-conservative image of Germany strong enough to compete with the
AfD’s closed nationalism. It might describe Germany as a historic, cultural,
and constitutional community that has the right and capacity to protect its security,
continuity, prosperity, and social order. All citizens who share its laws and
responsibilities belong within that community. Germany regains control through
competent government, managed change, civic cohesion, and European capacity,
not by ranking citizens according to ancestry.
This approach would also make the firewall
more intelligible. Noncooperation with the AfD would no longer stand as the
CDU’s main answer. It would become one boundary within a larger democratic
strategy. Voters are included. Problems are addressed. Proposals are judged on
their merits and constitutional effects. Government cooperation remains
conditional on respect for equal citizenship, independent courts, free media,
political opposition, and peaceful transfers of power.
A democratic boundary becomes more
credible when citizens can see what stands behind it: recognition, an
alternative direction, and the capacity to deliver.
Leadership: From
Accidental Emergence to Democratic Leadership Development
The practical implication reaches beyond
Germany. Democratic parties should stop treating resonant Leadership as
charisma that appears by chance. They cannot manufacture a Churchill, Mandela,
or Obama, and attempts to do so would probably produce artificial candidates.
They can, however, create conditions in which potential Leaders are more likely
to emerge, be recognized, tested, and developed while remaining democratically
constrained.
This requires an additional institutional
capacity alongside policy development and preparation for government.
|
Capacity
|
Purpose
|
Practical methods
|
|
Leadership
emergence
|
Find
people who can connect social experience, common purpose, decision, and
responsibility
|
Open
recruitment, local assignments, crisis simulations, public problem solving,
work across social groups
|
|
Democratic
imagination
|
Develop
an inclusive account of who belongs, what is protected, and what future is
possible
|
Listening
processes, historical and cultural work, narrative development, testing
across regions and constituencies
|
|
Public
testing
|
Determine
whether leadership resonates beyond the party and remains democratic under
pressure
|
Citizen
dialogue, hostile questions, diverse evaluators, real responsibility,
assessment of correction and recovery
|
|
Communication
and enactment
|
Make
the shared direction understandable and credible
|
Major
speeches, repeatable public language, symbolic moments, milestones,
transparent reporting on delivery
|
|
Democratic
safeguards
|
Prevent
resonance from becoming a personality cult or exclusionary movement
|
Shared
leadership, internal dissent, term limits, independent facts, succession,
constitutional review
|
The relationship among these capacities
matters. Democratic imagination cannot be delegated to a communications agency
after the program has been written. It should begin with social experience and
help determine political direction. Communication then makes that direction
intelligible, while government makes it credible. A compelling story repeatedly
contradicted by policy failure will eventually deepen distrust.
Leadership candidates should therefore be
tested on more than speeches or internal party advancement. Can they listen
without merely affirming? Can they explain fear without exploiting it? Can they
create a “we” that reaches beyond the existing base? Can they choose under
uncertainty, organize implementation, accept correction, and defend democratic
rules against their own supporters? Resonance without these tests can select
the most effective demagogue rather than the strongest democratic leader.
Well-designed citizen participation can
contribute to this development by exposing parties and leaders to considered
public judgment rather than only polls, social media pressure, or activist
intensity. OECD research on deliberative processes finds that representative
public deliberation can improve the handling of complex tradeoffs and support
public trust when it is tied to real decisions.[6] It should inform Leadership,
not replace elected responsibility.
A stronger Democratic
idea of Strength
Germany’s problem is not simply that the
AfD is strong or that the CDU has communicated poorly.
The deeper weakness is
that democratic politics has allowed the authoritarian right to claim ownership
of recognition, protection, belonging, direction, and decisive Leadership.
Policy improvement and administrative competence remain indispensable, but they
will not close this gap by themselves.
Democratic Parties need Leaders who can
imagine the community and allow citizens to recognize themselves within it.
Those Leaders must connect public experience to a shared account of the
country, translate that account into choices, and prove it through visible
government. They must also remain accountable, correctable, replaceable, and
unable to define inconvenient citizens out of the nation.
A resonant CDU would therefore be better
equipped to respond to the AfD. It could separate voters from the party’s
authoritarian interpretations, compete over the meaning of Germany rather than
imitate AfD positions, and place the firewall within a positive democratic
project. It would not eliminate the structural sources of radical-right
support, but it would stop leaving their political interpretation largely to
the radical right.
The broader lesson is that democratic
Leadership should no longer be left entirely to accidental emergence. Parties
can institutionalize the search for people who combine imagination, resonance,
political judgment, delivery, and self-restraint. A stronger system for developing Leaders who can
embody a shared future without claiming ownership of the people who must create
it.
When democratic
parties fail to develop resonant leadership and a compelling, inclusive image
of the community, they leave the desire for recognition, protection, belonging,
and direction open to authoritarian interpretation.
Appendix - CDU
What Democratic Leadership Development Could Look Like in the
CDU
The argument of this article becomes
meaningful only if leadership development can be translated into institutions.
The following proposal is therefore not a blueprint for reorganizing the CDU,
but a practical pilot that CDU politicians could adopt, test, and revise. It is
designed to supplement policy development, candidate training, and preparation
for government—not to replace them.
The suggested pilot proposition is deliberately
limited: one year, three contrasting regions, twenty potential leaders, and
three real public problems. A national mandate and common evaluation framework
would give the experiment weight, while selected state and local associations
would keep it connected to actual communities. The aim would not be to
manufacture one charismatic figure. It would be to create an environment in
which several potential leaders can emerge, assume responsibility, and
demonstrate whether they can combine resonance, imagination, delivery, and
democratic self-restraint.
1 Community Sensing
Unit
A small interdisciplinary team would
connect local party branches with mayors, schools, employers, trade unions,
social services, churches, associations, police, and citizens who no longer
feel represented by established parties. Its task would be qualitative
political diagnosis rather than another stream of opinion polling. Monthly
briefs would distinguish among the lived problem, the human need expressed
through it, the explanation citizens attach to it, the exclusionary
interpretation offered by the AfD, and a possible democratic interpretation and
response.
This distinction is crucial. It would allow
the CDU to recognize experiences of insecurity, loss, cultural change, weak
public services, or governmental disorder without automatically accepting the
AfD's definition of their causes or solutions. The unit should report to the
Leadership-development pilot rather than to the campaign or communications
apparatus. Its findings should shape political judgment before messages are
written.
2 Leadership Field
Program
State and local associations would nominate
participants, while an open route would allow mayors, civic leaders,
professionals, and younger members outside the usual party ladder to apply.
Selection would look beyond rhetorical performance and internal visibility.
Candidates would need to show that they can listen across social divisions,
formulate a direction, make decisions under uncertainty, organize
implementation, explain constraints honestly, and accept correction.
Each participant would receive
responsibility for a real regional assignment—for example asylum
administration, housing, local transport, school capacity, economic renewal, or
access to public services. The work would be conducted with the institutions and
communities involved, not as a classroom exercise. Participants would have to
define the problem, build a working coalition, establish measurable milestones,
communicate progress, and account publicly for failure or delay. Political
imagination would thus remain connected to governing capacity.
3 Democratic
Imagination Studio
This would be the most distinctive
component. Citizens, local leaders, historians,
writers, cultural figures, policy specialists, and participating politicians
would work on competing accounts of Germany's common future. The studio would
not be a slogan workshop. It would examine who belongs, what Germans may
legitimately wish to preserve, what obligations accompany membership, what the
country has learned from its history, and how continuity and change can be
joined within equal citizenship.
The output should not be one centrally
imposed narrative. The studio could develop two or three formulations and test
them across eastern and western Germany, cities and rural areas, generations,
religious and secular communities, and citizens with and without migration
backgrounds. A democratic-conservative account of Germany would succeed only if
it were historically recognizable, emotionally meaningful, constitutionally
inclusive, and capable of guiding actual choices. Communication specialists
could later help express it, but they should not create it in isolation.
4 Public Leadership
Tests
Potential Leaders would face mixed citizen
assemblies, difficult town halls, hostile questioning, crisis simulations, and
public reviews of their field assignments. Evaluation would include citizens,
peers, implementation partners, and independent observers. The purpose would be
to test whether a participant can recognize anger without flattering it, defend
boundaries without excluding citizens, revise a position without appearing
directionless, and retain authority when facts or implementation require an unwelcome
answer.
These tests would also expose the principal
danger in institutionalizing resonance: selecting the most effective performer
or demagogue. Strong democratic Leadership must remain accountable and
replaceable. The pilot should therefore develop several Leaders simultaneously,
use transparent criteria, rotate assessors, protect internal dissent, and
separate final evaluation from any single party sponsor or communications team.
From Pilot to Party Capacity
After twelve months, the CDU should be able
to assess tangible outputs: a map of social stresses and underlying needs in
three regions; two or three tested accounts of democratic belonging and
direction; a pool of potential Leaders who have performed under public
responsibility; three documented delivery cases; and evidence about which forms
of leadership can reach citizens attracted to the AfD without imitating its
authoritarian interpretation.
If the pilot works, the four functions
could become a recurring party capacity rather than a temporary project.
Community Sensing would inform program development. Field assignments would
become part of Leadership selection. Democratic imagination would connect
social experience to political direction. Public tests would make advancement
depend partly on demonstrated democratic Leadership rather than only on
internal career success. The result would not guarantee great leaders. It would
make their emergence less accidental and give the party better evidence for
recognizing them.
The institutional principle is simple:
Do not search only for a charismatic leader.
Build an organization in which multiple leaders can emerge, prove that they can
represent a plural community, deliver under real conditions, and remain
democratically constrained.
References
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D. P. “Advantages and Disadvantages of Cognitive Heuristics in Political
Decision Making.” American Journal of Political Science, 2001.
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[2] Nilsson, A., and Jost, J.
T. “The Psychological Causes and Societal Consequences of Authoritarianism.”
Nature Reviews Psychology, 2023.
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[3] Reuters. “Far-right AfD
wins historic victory in German state election.” September 6, 2026.
https://www.reuters.com/world/germanys-far-right-afd-seeks-landmark-state-victory-saxony-anhalt-votes-2026-09-06/
[4] Haslam, S. A., Reicher,
S. D., and Platow, M. J. “Rethinking the Psychology of Leadership.” Daedalus,
2015.
https://www.amacad.org/publication/daedalus/rethinking-psychology-leadership-personal-identity-social-identity
[5] Krause, W., Cohen, D.,
and Abou-Chadi, T. “Does Accommodation Work Mainstream Party Strategies and the
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[6] OECD. Innovative Citizen
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