Saturday, June 13, 2026

EPS-001 - European Position Statement - Iran and Middle East Stability


 

European Position Statements (EPS)

About the EPS Framework

European Position Statements apply the principles of the European Declaration for Middle East Stability to specific actors, policies and events.

Their purpose is not to determine who is right or wrong. Their purpose is to evaluate whether developments move the region toward or away from long-term stability.

To do so, EPS uses the Declaration Compass:

Future
Does a policy contribute to a viable future for all peoples involved?

Security
Does a policy contribute to security that can ultimately be shared rather than permanently contested?

Reconciliation
Does a policy help transform historical grievance into coexistence and cooperation?

The Compass does not prescribe a final political settlement.
It provides a direction against which policies and developments can be evaluated.

The ultimate objective is a Middle East in which political entities increasingly conform to the principles of the European Declaration for Middle East Stability and where peace becomes possible because enough people feel that their history has been acknowledged and incorporated into a shared future.


EPS-001 - Iran and Middle East Stability

A Proposed European Position Statement

European Objective

Europe seeks a stable Middle East in which all peoples can pursue prosperity, security and self-determination without threatening the security and self-determination of others.

Europe recognizes that Iran is a major regional actor whose participation will be necessary for any durable regional security architecture.

Europe therefore seeks neither permanent confrontation with Iran nor the acceptance of policies that perpetuate regional conflict.

Europe’s objective is to encourage developments that align Iranian policies more closely with a future of regional stability, reciprocal security and eventual reconciliation.


Compass Assessment

Future

Iran consistently highlights the unresolved status of the Palestinian question.

Europe recognizes that Palestinian self-determination remains an essential component of any durable regional settlement. In this respect, Iran addresses a genuine and unresolved issue that cannot simply be ignored.

At the same time, support for Palestinian aspirations contributes to long-term stability only if it helps create a future in which both Palestinians and Israelis can live in security and dignity.
Policies that frame the conflict primarily in terms of victory, resistance or elimination do not provide such a future.

Europe therefore distinguishes between support for Palestinian rights and support for approaches that undermine the possibility of coexistence.

Compass Assessment: Mixed.

Iran raises legitimate questions concerning Palestinian aspirations but does not yet consistently align its policies with a future that accommodates both peoples.


Security

Iran possesses legitimate security interests and faces genuine security concerns of its own.

Europe recognizes Iran’s sovereignty, territorial integrity and right to self-defense.
At the same time, the pursuit of security through prolonged regional confrontation creates insecurity for all parties involved.
Support for military actors whose objectives are incompatible with coexistence undermines the emergence of a durable regional security framework.

Europe therefore encourages a gradual shift from deterrence through confrontation toward security through diplomacy, regional arrangements and confidence-building measures.

Compass Assessment: Mixed to Negative.

Iran’s security concerns are legitimate, but several instruments used to pursue them contribute to regional instability.


Reconciliation

The Middle East contains numerous unresolved historical grievances.
These include Palestinian dispossession, repeated wars, terrorism, foreign interventions, occupation, displacement and civilian suffering across multiple societies.

Europe believes that acknowledging these histories is necessary.
However, acknowledgement should serve reconciliation rather than perpetual mobilization.

Iran’s political discourse frequently emphasizes historical injustice. Less developed is a corresponding vision of how historical grievances can ultimately be transformed into coexistence.

Europe therefore encourages Iran to complement its advocacy for Palestinian rights with support for political arrangements capable of accommodating both Palestinian and Israeli futures.

Compass Assessment: Negative.

Current Iranian policy places greater emphasis on grievance and resistance than on reconciliation.


European Position Statement

Europe does not ask Iran to abandon support for Palestinian dignity, rights or self-determination.

Europe asks Iran to increasingly align that support with a regional future in which Palestinian and Israeli futures can coexist.

Europe believes that durable stability will not emerge through the permanent exclusion of Iran from regional affairs. Nor will it emerge through the permanent exclusion of Israel.

The challenge is not choosing between the security and aspirations of one people or another.
The challenge is constructing a regional framework in which these aspirations can increasingly develop together.

Europe therefore pursues dialogue with Iran while maintaining clear opposition to policies that undermine coexistence, reciprocal security and reconciliation.


Compass Summary

Iran occupies a paradoxical position within the Middle East.
It raises legitimate concerns regarding unresolved Palestinian aspirations and regional inequities.
At the same time, aspects of its current strategy contribute to the continuation of the very conflict it seeks to address.

The Declaration Compass suggests that Europe should neither isolate Iran nor align with its current regional approach.
Instead, Europe should seek to encourage an evolution from resistance toward coexistence, from confrontation toward reciprocal security, and from grievance toward reconciliation.

Such a course would not resolve the conflict overnight. But it would move the region in the direction indicated by the European Declaration for Middle East Stability.

 

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