EUROPE-IS-US

FOR a STRONG, CONFIDENT, EUROPE with GREAT POLITICAL, ECONOMICAL and DEFENSE CAPABILITIES amidst RUSSIA, USA and CHINA! NEWS and ANALYSES

Monday, January 19, 2026

How Europe Is Already Moving Towards a New Internet — Step by Step


Introduction

Our previous article From the Old Normal to a New Normal: Why Europe Must Reclaim Control of the Internet ended with a cliff-hanger.

We argued that the current digital Old Normal feels exploitative because it is structurally coercive. We showed that Europe had to help enforce this normal — but that it does not have to.
We identified Repealing Anticircumvention Laws (ACV; origined in USA, DMCA$1201) as the power lever that could make a New Normal possible. And we concluded that a window exists to act — not forever, but now.

Which leaves the obvious question:

If the lever exists, and the window is open, why hasn’t Europe pulled it?

The answer is not political hesitation, nor lack of awareness. It is that pulling the ACV lever - Repealing Anticircumvention Laws - is not a necessary beginning of the transition from the Old Normal to a New Normal — it can also be a late-stage move in a process that is already underway.


After Pulling the Lever: What Needed to Come Next Anyway?

Repealing Anticircumvention Laws is often framed as a decisive act — a switch that, once flipped, would immediately unlock a New Normal.

Thát framing is naive.

Pulling the ACV lever does not automatically produce a New Normal, with alternative products, repair ecosystems, migration tools, and interoperable services. It just removes a legal barrier that currently prevents those things to develop. What opens up after removal is not instant transformation, but a transition path that must still be travelled.

That transition has three broad phases, each with different requirements and risks.


The Transition Path to a New Normal

Phase 1: Contestability (≈ 0–2 years)

This phase is about removing fear and legal paralysis.

Key characteristics:

  • Staying with a service becomes a choice, not something people are forced into
  • Dominant actors lose the ability to retaliate freely.
  • Switching between products and services, and making them work together, is recognised as a right — even if it is still costly or imperfect in practice.

What this phase does not yet require:

  • Mass user migration.
  • Mature alternative ecosystems.
  • A level of ease and reliability comparable to what people are already used to.

Contestability is about restoring the option to leave, not m Staying with a service becomes a choice, not something people are forced intoaking everyone leave.


Phase 2: Ecosystem Formation (≈ 2–5 years)

This is the slow, unglamorous phase where a New Normal either stabilises — or fails.

Key characteristics:

  • Alternative services, clients, and providers emerge.
  • Migration and switching tools improve.
  • Repair networks and aftermarkets become viable.
  • Trust infrastructure develops (security audits, certification, support).

This phase requires time, investment, and learning. It cannot be rushed by decree.


Phase 3: Structural Alignment (≈ 5–10 years)

Only in this phase does it become both safe and effective to remove legacy privileges.

Key characteristics:

  • Old legal protections no longer fit market reality.
  • Contradictions between laws become untenable.
  • “Cleanup” reforms align legacy law with lived practice.

This is where anticircumvention privileges can be removed without destabilising the system, because the system no longer depends on them.


Where Europe Actually Is on This Path

Europe is not waiting at the starting line. It is already well into Phase 1 and beginning Phase 2.

This is visible in concrete, recognisable measures.

Phase 1 actions already in force

  • Digital Markets Act (DMA)
    The DMA directly constrains dominant digital “gatekeepers.” It mandates interoperability, bans self-preferencing, and lowers retaliation risk for competitors and users. This is a textbook contestability instrument.
  • Data Act
    The Data Act makes exit economically viable by mandating data portability and eliminating switching charges (including cloud egress fees). This turns exit from a theoretical right into a practical option.
  • Right to Repair framework
    EU repair rules restore practical repairability by guaranteeing access to parts, information, and tools. This enables aftermarkets and longer device lifetimes — essential conditions for a non-coercive digital economy.
  • Digital Services Act (DSA)
    The DSA reasserts public authority over platforms that had become private rule-makers. It does not dismantle business models, but it ends the assumption that platforms govern themselves.

Taken together, these measures establish contestability without requiring immediate ecosystem replacement.

This is exactly what Phase 1 is meant to do.


Walking Around the Elephant: Progress Without Pulling the Lever

Anticircumvention law is often described as “the elephant in the room.” That metaphor is accurate — but incomplete.

Europe is not ignoring the elephant. It is changing the room.

As DMA (EU Digital Market Act) obligations meet technical lock-ins, as repair rights meet firmware restrictions, and as switching rights meet proprietary controls, ACV law increasingly appears not as a foundation but as an obstruction.

This matters because pressure is building from within the system:

  • DMA enforcement cases begin to collide with technical protection measures.
  • Repair obligations expose where software locks still block lawful activity.
  • Switching mandates reveal how TPMs frustrate exit in practice.

Each of these conflicts weakens the justification for ACV privileges without requiring a frontal assault.

EU walking around the elephant is not avoidance. It is how Europe is learning how to change the room making it possible to move the elephant out.


Europe:  Yes: Aware, Concerned, and Progressing

The evidence is in the sequencing.

Across all major digital initiatives, the EU now assumes:

  • staying with a service becomes a choice, not something people are forced into,
  • having the right to switch between products and services and to have them work together, even if not perfect (yet),
  • repair must be practical,
  • and dependence must be treated as a risk, not an efficiency.

ACV law increasingly contradicts those assumptions. That contradiction is not hidden; it is surfacing through enforcement, litigation, and implementation.

As Cory Doctorow [The Post-American Internet (01 Jan 2026)] has pointed out, external conditions now make it easier to complete this transition. Trade enforcement is less uniform, digital dependency is reframed as a resilience issue, and global legal alignment is no longer treated as an absolute good.

That does not force Europe to act — but it lowers the cost of acting when the time is right.


Why Not Pull the Lever Now?

Because timing matters.

A premature repeal of ACV protections risks:

  • fragmentation without durability,
  • alternatives without trust,
  • and backlash without payoff.

A sequenced repeal — arriving after contestability and early ecosystem formation — is far more likely to be progressing irreversibly.

Europe’s restraint is not hesitation. It is a way to ensure that when ACV privileges are finally removed, they stay removed — because the system no longer relies on them.


What Comes Next (Realistically)

Over the next 2–5 years, if current policies are enforced:

  • Switching and migration services will mature.
  • Repair ecosystems will stabilise.
  • Interoperability will become a procurement expectation.
  • Users and businesses will gain confidence that exit is survivable.

At that point, ACV law will no longer look like “protection.” It will look like an anomaly — the last rule propping up a structure that has already moved on.

That is when pulling the lever becomes both effective and safe.


Conclusion: The Lever, the Timeline, and the Road Ahead

The lever exists. The window exists. The destination is clear.

But Europe is not parked in front of the lever. It is already on the road, in the EU way.

It is progressing through the transition phases in a way that reduces dependency, restores exit, and rebuilds digital markets around choice rather than coercion. In doing so, it is steadily depriving the Old Normal of the conditions it needs to survive.

When anticircumvention privileges are finally removed, it will not feel like a revolution. It will feel like a cleanup — the removal of a legal exception that no longer fits the system it once supported.

The point is no longer whether Europe should pull the ACV repealing lever, but whether EU’s already running approach for the Transition to the New Normal is going to be persistently continued, finally in the Third Transition Phase turning the Elephant out of the New Room.

 


No comments:

Post a Comment