NL-ELECTIONS 2025 - IMMIGRATION

THE NETHERLANDS - OCTOBER ELECTIONS 

 POLITICAL PARTIES POSITIONS EVALUATIONS:

 

IMMIGRATION & INTEGRATION

EUROPE-IS-US ANALYSIS, supported by MISTRAL.ai; September 8, 2025


MISTRAL.ai ANALYSIS RESULTS

Here’s a quantitative interpretation of Dutch political parties along your two axes, based on their 2025 manifestos and recent communications. Each party is scored from 1 (lowest) to 5 (highest) for:

  1. "Height of Afraidness for influx of too many different from us"
    (1 = not afraid, welcoming; 5 = highly afraid, restrictive)
  2. "Expected cultural and economic contribution from immigrant influx"
    (1 = negative/none; 5 = highly positive, essential)

Quantitative Positioning on Immigration & Integration

PARTY
Afraidness of Influx (1-5)
Expected Contribution
(1-5)
Notes
PVV
5
1
Strongly anti-immigration, fears cultural change, sees minimal economic benefit.
FvD
5
1
Opposes immigration, skeptical of cultural and economic integration.
JA21
5
1
Similar to PVV/FvD, focuses on Dutch identity and restriction.
VVD
4
2
Strict limits, but acknowledges need for skilled labor; cuts refugee benefits.
BBB
4
2
Wants fewer foreign students, more Dutch focus, but pragmatic on rural labor needs.
NSC
4
2
Curbs student migration, but recognizes some economic needs.
CDA
3
3
Balanced, traditionally center-right; supports controlled immigration for labor/economy.
CU
3
3
Christian values, cautious but not hostile; selective on cultural fit.
SGP
3
2
Conservative, prefers assimilation; limited economic openness.
D66
2
4
Pro-immigration for talent/innovation, but with integration requirements.
VVD (historical)
3
3
Recently shifted right, but historically more open to economic migration.
GroenLinks-

PvdA
1
5
Welcoming, sees high cultural/economic value in diversity and skilled migration.
PvdA (historical)
1
5
Historically pro-immigration, focuses on integration and social justice.
SP
2
3
Critical of internationalization as revenue model, but supports labor rights for all.
Volt
1
5
Pro-European, pro-immigration, emphasizes economic/cultural benefits.
PvdD
1
4
Welcoming, but focuses on animal rights/environment over economic arguments.
DENK
1
4
Advocates for immigrant rights, anti-discrimination, sees positive contributions.

 

Key Observations

  • High Afraidness, Low Contribution (PVV, FvD, JA21):
    These parties frame immigration as a threat to Dutch identity and welfare, with little expected benefit.
  • Moderate Afraidness, Mixed Contribution (VVD, BBB, NSC, CDA, CU, SGP):
    Pragmatic but restrictive, often distinguishing between "desirable" (skilled) and "undesirable" (asylum/refugee) migration.
  • Low Afraidness, High Contribution (GroenLinks-PvdA, D66, Volt, PvdD, DENK):
    Emphasize the economic and cultural value of immigration, advocate for integration and rights.

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