Structural Factors Shaping the Growth Potential of the 20 Largest Economies Over the Next Decade (2026–2036)
Introduction This report presents a forward-looking, comprehensive analysis of the 20 largest economies in the world—with Europe treated as a single economic bloc—to assess their relative growth or decline potential over the next decade (2026–2036). The analysis focuses on structural factors beyond governmental policies that will shape economic trajectories, including demographics , climate constraints , natural resource availability , intellectual and knowledge capital , technological adoption , geopolitical stability , infrastructure quality , and labor market dynamics . The goal is to identify which economies are best positioned for sustained relative growth and which face significant headwinds likely to result in relative decline, even accounting for policy interventions. Ranking the 20 Largest Economies by GDP As of 2024, the 20 largest economies by nominal GDP are ranked as follows (in trillion USD): Rank Economy GDP (Nominal, 202...